Program Overview

Mon. Oct. 27 | Tues. Oct. 28 | Wed. Oct. 29 | Thurs. Oct. 30

23rd International Forum on COCOMO® and Systems/Software Cost Modeling and ICM Workshop 3

Monday, October 27, 2008

7:30 am to 8:00 am

Registration and Breakfast: Davidson Conference Center
Parking located Gate 4 – Parking Structure D

8:00 am to 9:40 am

Session 1: Overview of CSSE and Estimation for Next-Generation Processes
(Chair: Rick Selby, Northrop Grumman and USC)

"Recent DoD Trends and Systems and Software Process Implications" (Judith Dahmann, MITRE)

“Overview of CSSE and Estimation for Next-Generation Processes” (Barry Boehm, USC)

9:40 am to 10:10 am

Break

10:10 am to 11:50 am

Session 2: Tools and Model Unification – including panel
(Chair: Jared Fortune, Aerospace and USC)

“Constructive Cost Models for Evaluating Financial Tax Return Workflow Processes” (Colfax L. C. Selby, Rice & Company CPA’s Inc and St. Margaret’s Episcopal School)

“COCOMO® Suite Model Unification Tool” (Raymond J. Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School)

Panel on “Comparisons of Estimation Tools for Next-Generation Processes” (Moderator: Raymond J. Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School)

11:50 am to 1:00 pm

Lunch

1:00 pm to 2:40 pm

Session 3: Integrating Systems and Software Cost Modeling
(Chair: Ye Yang, ISCAS)

“Contributing Factors Determining the Sufficiency of COCOMO®-Based Estimation Processes in SCAMPI Appraisals” (Mary Anne Herndon, Transdyne Corporation)

“Systems Engineering Reuse: A Report on the State of the Practice” (Jared Fortune, USC; Ricardo Valerdi, MIT; Gan Wang, BAE Systems)

“Realistic Software Estimation for Fractionated Space Systems” (Winsor Brown, USC; Ramin Moazeni, USC)

“Harmonizing Software and Systems Engineering Cost Estimation” (Garry Roedler, Lockheed Martin; Ricardo Valerdi, MIT; Jared Fortune, USC; John Gaffney, Lockheed Martin; Donald J. Reifer, Reifer Consultants Inc. and USC)

2:40 pm to 3:10 pm

Break

3:10 pm to 5:30 pm

Session 4: Cost Estimation, Tools Fair and Reception
(Chair: Winsor Brown, USC)

“Zen in the Art of Cost Estimation” (Ricardo Valerdi, MIT; Dan Ligett, Softstar Systems)

Costar and SystemStar demos (Dan Ligett, Softstar Systems)

COCOMO® tool suite demos (USC students)

Other commercial and research tool demos (TBD)

5:30 pm to 9:00 pm

Affiliates Reception and Dinner: University Club, USC

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

7:30 am to 8:00 am

Check-in and Breakfast: Davidson Conference Center
Parking located Gate 4 – Parking Structure D

8:00 am to 9:40 am

Session 5: Modeling and Analysis
(Chair: Ray Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School and USC)

“Predicting Understandability of a Software Project Using COCOMO® II Model Drivers” (Ali Malik, USC; Barry Boehm, USC; Winsor Brown, USC)

“A Survey on Software Cost Estimation in the Chinese Software Industry” (Da Yang, Institute of Software Chinese Academy of Sciences – ISCAS; Qing Wang, ISCAS; Mingshu Li, ISCAS; Ye Yang, ISCAS; Kai Ye, ISCAS; Jing Du, ISCAS)

“A Constrained Regression Technique for COCOMO® Calibration” (Vu Nguyen, USC; Bert Steece, USC; Barry Boehm, USC)

“Phase Distribution of Software Development Effort” (Ye Yang, ISCAS; Mei He, ISCAS and the Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences; Mingshu Li, ISCAS; Qing Wang, ISCAS; Barry Boehm, USC)

9:40 am to 10:10 am

Break

10:10 am to 11:50 am

Session 6: Cost and Schedule Estimation for Next-Generation Processes
(Chair: Don Reifer, Reifer Consultants Inc and USC)

“System of Systems Engineering Cost Modeling: Strategies for Different Types of Systems of Systems” (Jo Ann Lane, USC)

“Using Parametric Software Models to Support Program Reviews” (Christopher L. Miller, OSD/AT&L)

“Managing Uncertainty in Value-Based Software Engineering” (Tim Menzies, West Virginia University – WVU; Philip Green, WVU; Oussama Elwaras, WVU)

“Looking at Schedule vs. Effort in Software Engineering, Systems Engineering and Systems Overall” (John Gaffney, Lockheed Martin)

11:50 am to 1:00 pm

Lunch

1:00 pm to 1:50 pm

Lifetime Achievement Award Announcement and Presentation
(Chair: Rick Selby, Northrop Grumman; Awardee: Jairus Hihn, JPL)

1:50 pm to 2:05 pm

Mini-Break

2:05 pm to 3:20 pm

Session 7: Estimation for Next-Generation Processes – includes panel
(Chair: Jo Ann Lane, USC)

“Software Cost/Productivity/Quality: Have We Made Any Progress?” (Donald J. Reifer, Reifer Consultants Inc. and USC)

Panel on “Estimation for Next-Generation Processes” (Moderator: Jo Ann Lane, USC; Panelists: Jairus Hihn, JPL; Judith Dahmann, MITRE; Kirstie Bellman, Aerospace Corp; Don Reifer, RCI and USC)

3:20 pm to 3:50 pm

Break

3:50 pm to 5:15 pm

Session 8: Future Trends – includes Panel
(Chair: TBD)

“Reducing Biases in Individual Software Effort Estimations: A Combining Approach” (Qi Li, ISCAS and USC; Qing Wang, ISCAS; Ye Yang, ISCAS; Mingshu Li, ISCAS)

Panel on “Future Trends in Estimation for Next-Generation Processes” (Moderator: TBD; Panelists: Wilson Rosa, Air Force Cost Analysis Agency; Marilee Wheaton, Aerospace Corp.; Ye Yang, ISCAS)

5:15 pm to 5:20 pm

Closing Remarks
(Chair: Rick Selby, Northrop Grumman and USC)

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

7:30 am to 8:00 am

Check-In and Breakfast: Davidson Conference Center
Parking located at Gate 4 – Parking Structure D

8:00 am to 8:30 am

Sponsor Overview: Kristen Baldwin or Bruce Amato, OSD

8:30 am to 5:00 pm

Parallel Workshops on

  • Incremental Commitment Model Guidebook III
  • COSYSMO 2.0

ICM Guidebook III Workshop Agenda

8:30 am to 9:00 am

ICM Guidebook Status, Plans, Key Issues (Barry Boehm, USC)

9:00 am to 9:30 am

Competitive Prototyping Survey Results (Dan Ingold, USC)

9:30 am to 10:00 am

DoD Acquisition Process and ICM Alignment (Judith Dahmann, Mitre)

10:00 am to 10:30 am

Break

10:30 am to 10:55 am

Hardware/Software/Systems Engineering Integration (Neno Medvidovic, USC)

10:55 am to 11:20 am

Human Factors/Software/Systems Engineering Integration (Azad Madni, ISTI and USC)

11:20 am to 11:45 am

Applying ICM to Complex Space Systems (Karl Brunson, Lockheed Martin)

11:45 am to 12:10 pm

Working Group Issues and Procedures (Jo Ann Lane, USC)

12:10 pm to 1:10 pm

Lunch

1:10 pm to 3:00 pm

Working Groups

  • Next-Generation Estimation Methods and Management Metrics     (JoAnn Lane, USC)
  • Software Aspects of Competitive Prototyping (Dan Ingold, USC)

3:00 pm to 3:30 pm

Break

3:30 pm to 5:00 pm

Working Groups continue

COSYSMO Workshop Agenda

8:00 am to 8:30 am

Introductions

Review of COSYSMO workshop in July – Mystic, CT (Garry Roedler, Lockheed Martin)

8:30 am to 9:00 am

Results of Reuse Survey (Jared Fortune, USC)

9:00 am to 10:00 am

Harmonization of Software and Systems Engineering Cost Estimation (Garry Roedler, Lockheed Martin)

10:00 am to 10:30 am

Break

10:30 am to 11:00 am

Experience with SEEMAP at BAE Systems: Quantitative Risk Modeling Using Monte Carlo / Crystal Ball (Gan Wang, BAE Systems)

11:00 am to 11:30 am

Experience with COSYSMO-R at Lockheed Martin (John Gaffney, Lockheed Martin)

11:30 am to 12:00 pm

Heuristic Risk Assessment (Ray Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School and USC)

12:00 pm to 1:00 pm

Lunch

1:00 pm to 2:00 pm

Best Practice Guidance (Garry Roedler, Lockheed Martin)

Model Usage Heuristics (Ricardo Valerdi, MIT)

2:00 pm to 3:00 pm

Working Session on Harmonization of SW & SE Estimation: WBS Approach (Garry Roedler, Lockheed Martin; Gan Wang, BAE Systems)

3:00 pm to 3:30 pm

Break

3:30 pm to 4:00 pm

Discussion on Reuse Framework (Jared Fortune, USC; Ricardo Valerdi, MIT)

4:00 pm to 5:00 pm

Discussion on Recursive Levels Cost Driver (Ricardo Valerdi, MIT)

5:00 pm to 7:00 pm

Reception

Thursday, October 30, 2008

7:30 am to 8:00 am

Registration and Breakfast: Davidson Conference Center
Parking located Gate 4 – Parking Structure D

8:00 am to 11:30 am

Parallel Workshops where working groups prepare outbriefs:

  • Incremental Commitment Model Guidebook III
  • COSYSMO 2.0

9:30 am to 10:00 am

Break

10:00 am to 11:30 am

Workshop outbriefs and sponsor response

11:30 am

Adjourn

 

 

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