Program Overview

Mon. Oct. 27 | Tues. Oct. 28 | Wed. Oct. 29 | Thurs. Oct. 30

23rd International Forum on COCOMO® and Systems/Software Cost Modeling and ICM Workshop 3

Monday, October 27, 2008

7:30 am to 8:00 am

Registration and Breakfast: Davidson Conference Center
Parking located Gate 4 – Parking Structure D

8:00 am to 9:40 am

Session 1: Welcome and Overview of Estimation for Next-Generation Processes. Session Chair: Rick Selby, Northrop Grumman and USC

"Overview of Estimation for Next-Generation Processes,” Barry Boehm, USC

9:40 am to 10:10 am

Break

10:10 am to 11:50 am

Session 2: Cost and Schedule Estimation for Next-Generation Processes. Session Chair: Donald J. Reifer, Reifer Consultants Inc. & USC

“System of Systems Engineering Cost Modeling: Strategies for Different Types of Systems of Systems,” Jo Ann Lane, USC

“Realistic Software Estimations for Fractionated Space Systems,” Winsor Brown, USC; Ramin Moazeni, USC

“A Survey on Software Cost Estimation in the Chinese Software Industry,” Da Yang, Institute of Software, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China (ISCAS); Qing Wang, ISCAS; Mingshu Li, ISCAS; Ye Yang, ISCAS; Kai Ye, ISCAS; Jing Du, ISCAS

“Using Parametric Software Models to Support Program Reviews,” Christopher L. Miller, OSD/AT&L

11:50 am to 1: pm

Lunch

11:50 am to 1:50 pm

Lifetime Achievement Award Announcement and Presentation. Chair: Barry Boehm, USC; Awardee: Jairus Hihn, JPL

1:50 pm to 2:05 pm

Mini-break

2:05 pm to 3:20 pm

Session 3: Estimation for Next-Generation Processes (includes Panel). Session Chair: Jo Ann Lane, USC

“Software Cost/Productivity/Quality: Have We Made Any Progress?,” Donald J. Reifer, Reifer Consultants Inc. & USC

Panel on “Estimation for Next-Generation Processes,” Moderator: Jo Ann Lane, USC

3:20 pm to 3:50 pm

Break

3:50 pm to 6:00 pm

Session 4: Tools Fair and Reception. Session Chair: Winsor Brown, USC

Costar and SystemStar demos, Dan Ligett, Softstar Systems

COCOMO® tool suite demos, USC students

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

7:30 am to 8:00 am

Check-in and Breakfast: Davidson Conference Center
Parking located Gate 4 – Parking Structure D

8:00 am to 9:40 am

Session 5: Modeling and Analysis. Session Chair: Ray Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School and USC

“Predicting Understandability of a Software Project Using COCOMO® II Model Drivers,” Ali Afzal Malik, USC; Barry W. Boehm, USC; Winsor Brown, USC

“A Constrained Regression Technique for COCOMO® Calibration,” Vu Nguyen, USC; Bert Steece, USC; Barry Boehm, USC

“Constructive Cost Models for Evaluating Financial Tax Return Workflow Processes,” Colfax L. C. Selby, Rice & Company CPA’s Inc. and St. Margaret’s Episcopal School

“Phase Distribution of Software Development Effort,” Ye Yang, Institute of Software, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China (ISCAS); Mei He, ISCAS and Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, China; Mingshu Li, ISCAS; Qing Wang, ISCAS; Barry Boehm, USC

9:40 am to 10:10 am

Break

10:10 am to 12:00 pm

Session 6: Tools and Model Unification (includes Panel). Session Chair: Jared Fortune, USC

“Managing Uncertainty in Value-based Software Engineering,” Tim Menzies, West Virginia University (WVU); Phillip Green, WVU; Oussama Elwaras, WVU

“COCOMO® Suite Model Unification Tool,” Raymond J. Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School

Panel on “Comparisons of Estimation Tools for Next-Generation Processes,” Moderator: Raymond J. Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School

12:00 pm to 1:00 pm

Lunch

1:00 pm to 2:40 pm

Session 7: Integrating Systems and Software Cost Modeling. Session Chair: Ye Yang, Institute of Software, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China and USC

“Harmonizing Software and Systems Engineering Cost Estimation,” Garry Roedler, Lockheed Martin; Ricardo Valerdi, MIT; Jared Fortune, USC; John Gaffney, Lockheed Martin; Donald J. Reifer, Reifer Consultants Inc. and USC

“Systems Engineering Reuse: A Report on the State of the Practice,” Jared Fortune, USC; Ricardo Valerdi, MIT; Gan Wang, BAE Systems

“Contributing Factors Determining the Sufficiency of COCOMO®-Based Estimation Processes in SCAMPI Appraisals,” Mary Anne Herndon, Transdyne Corporation

“Looking At Schedule vs. Effort in Software Engineering, Systems Engineering, and Systems Overall,” John Gaffney, Lockheed Martin

2:40 pm to 3:10 pm

Break

3:10 pm to 4:50 pm

Session 8: Future Trends (includes Panel). Session Chair: Barry Boehm, USC

“Reducing Biases in Individual Software Effort Estimations: A Combining Approach,” Qi Li, Institute of Software, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China (ISCAS) and Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, China; Qing Wang, ISCAS; Ye Yang, ISCAS; Mingshu Li, ISCAS

“Zen in the Art of Cost Estimation,” Ricardo Valerdi, MIT; Dan Ligett, Softstar Systems

Panel on “Future Trends in Estimation for Next-Generation Processes,” Moderator: Barry Boehm, USC. Panelists: Wilson Rosa; Marilee Wheaton, Aerospace; Ye Yang, ISCAS; Rick Selby, Northrop Grumman and USC

4:50 pm to 5:00 pm

Closing Remarks. Session Chair: Barry Boehm, USC

5:00 pm to 9:00 pm

Affiliates Dinner

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

7:30 am to 8:00 am

Check-In and Breakfast: Davidson Conference Center
Parking located at Gate 4 – Parking Structure D

8:00 am to 8:30 am

Sponsor Overview: Kristen Baldwin or Bruce Amato, OSD

8:00 am to 5:00 pm

Parallel Workshops on

  • Incremental Commitment Model Guidebook III (Agenda below)
  • COSYSMO 2.0 (Agenda TBD)

ICM
8:30 am to 9:00 am

ICM Guidebook Status, Plans, Key Issues: Barry Boehm, USC

ICM
9:00 am to 9:30 am

Competitive Prototyping Survey Results: Dan Ingold, USC

ICM
9:30 am to 10:00 am

DoD Acquisition Process and ICM Alignment: Judith Dahmann, Mitre

ICM
10:00 am to 10:30 am

Break

ICM
10:30 am to 10:55 am

Hardware/Software/Systems Engineering Integration: Nenad Medvidovic, USC

ICM
10:55 am to 11:20 am

Human Factors/Software/Systems Engineering Integration: Azad Madni, ISTI/USC

ICM
11:20 am to 11:45 am

Applying ICM to Complex Space Systems: Karl Brunson, LMCO

ICM
11:45 am to 12:10 pm

Working Group Issues and Procedures: Jo Ann Lane, USC

ICM
12:10 pm to 1:10 pm

Lunch

ICM
1:10 pm to 3:00 pm

Working groups:

Next-Generation Estimation Methods and Management Metrics Working Group: JoAnn Lane, USC

Software Aspects of Competitive Prototyping Working Group: Dan Ingold, USC

ICM
3:00 pm to 3:30 pm

Break

ICM
3:30 pm to 5:00 pm

Working groups continue

COSYSMO
8:00 am to 5:00 pm

COSYSMO 2.0 Workshop Agenda TBD

Thursday, October 30, 2008

7:30 am to 8:00 am

Registration and Breakfast: Davidson Conference Center
Parking located Gate 4 – Parking Structure D

8:00 am to 11:30 am

Parallel Workshops where working groups prepare outbriefs:

  • Incremental Commitment Model Guidebook III
  • COSYSMO 2.0

9:30 am to 10:00 am

Break

10:00 am to 11:30 am

Workshops outbriefs and sponsor response

11:30 am

Adjourn

 

 

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