Program

Nov. 2, Nov. 3, Nov. 4


Wednesday, November 2, 2011
Davidson Conference Center


7:45am Registration and Breakfast—Davidson Conference Center
Session 1: Systems and Software Estimation.
Chair: Richard Selby, Northrop Grumman and USC
8:15 am Jo Ann Lane, USC, and Richard Selby, Northrop Grumman and USC, "Welcome"
8:20 am Keynote presentation: Barry Boehm, USC, Critical Success Factors for Schedule Estimation and Improvement
9:20 am Qi Li and Jo Ann Lane, USC, DACS-USC Data Repository Updates
9:45 am Mauricio Peña, USC, and Ricardo Valerdi, University of Arizona, Mathematical Formulation and Validation of the Impact of Requirements Volatility on Systems Engineering Effort
10:10 am Break
Session 2: Domain-Oriented Modeling for Aerospace Systems.
Chair: Qi Li, USC CSSE
10:30 am Andy Nolan and Satpaul Sall, Rolls-Royce plc, England, Whole Engine Cost Modelling and Use of a Comparator Tool
10:55 am Mary Boghosian, Aerospace Corporation, and Ricardo Valerdi, University of Arizona and Aerospace Corporation, Cost Estimating Methodology for Very Small Satellites
11:20 am

Panel: "Domain-Oriented Modeling, Estimation, and Improvement for Aerospace Systems Domains".  Moderator: Richard Selby, Northrop Grumman and USC

Dan Galorath, Galorath Incorporated, Domain Oriented Modeling, Estimation And Improvement for Aerospace Systems Domains

Andy Nolan, Silvia Abrahão, Paul Clements, John McGregor, Sholom Cohen, Towards the Integration of Quality Attributes into a Software Product Line Cost Model

12:10 pm Lunch
Session 3a: Air Force Estimation Guidebook Workshop (parallel workshop).
Moderators: Brad Clark, Software Metrics, Inc.; Ray Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School
1:00 pm Workshop presentations and discussions
2:50 pm Break
3:10 pm Workshop presentations and discussions (continued)

Jairus Hihn, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Domain-Oriented Modeling, Estimation and Improvement for Aerospace

Ray Madachy, Barry Boehm, Brad Clark, Thomas Tan, Wilson Rosa, Software Cost Estimation Metrics Manual

Session 3b: Metrics and Estimating Models for Software Maintenance Workshop (parallel workshop).
Moderator: Don Reifer, Reifer Consultants, LLC.
1:00 pm Workshop presentations and discussions
2:50 pm Break
3:10 pm Workshop presentations and discussions (continued)

Measurement and Estimating Models for Software Maintenance Workshop

Session 4: Tools Fair and Reception—Davidson Conference Center, 2nd Floor
5:00 pm - 7:00 pm Tools Fair and Reception

 


Thursday, November 3, 2011
Davidson Conference Center


7:45 am Registration
Session 5a: Lifetime Achievement Award.
Chair: Barry Boehm, USC
8:15 am Barry Boehm, USC, "Announcement of Lifetime Achievement Award Recipient"
8:20 am Presentation by Rick Selby, USC and Northrop, recipient of Lifetime Achievement Award, Lessons Learned for Development and Management of Large-Scale Software Systems
Session 5b: Modeling and Estimation.
Chair: Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn, USC CSSE
8:55 am Dave Zubrow, Bob Ferguson, Dennis Goldenson, Jim McCurley, and Bob Stoddard, Software Engineering Institute, QUELCE: Quantifying Uncertainty in Early Lifecycle Cost Estimation
9:20 am Doug Rosenberg, Iconix, Design Driven Cost Modeling via Design Driven Testing
9:45am Arlene Minkiewicz, PRICE Systems LLC, Software on the Move – Cost Considerations for Mobile Application Development
10:10 am Break
Session 6: Domain—Oriented Modeling for Commercial and IT Systems.
Chair: Jing Du, ISCAS and USC
10:30 am Anandi Hira, USC, Cost Modeling for Diversified Commercial Organizations
10:55 am Lee Fischman, Galorath Incorporated, Integration of Case-Based Reasoning into Parametric Costing
11:20 am

Panel: "Domain-Oriented Modeling, Estimation, and Improvement for Commercial and IT Systems Domains".  Moderator: Jo Ann Lane, USC

Mauricio Aguiar, TI Metricas, Domain-Oriented Modeling, Estimation and Improvement for Commercial and IT Systems Domains

Bob Ferguson (SEMA), Should-Cost: A Use for Parametric Estimates

12:10 pm Lunch
Session 7a: DACS Data Repository Workshop (parallel workshop).
Moderators: JoAnn Lane, USC and Qi Li, USC
1:00 pm Workshop presentations and discussions
2:50 pm Break
3:10 pm - 5:00 pm Workshop presentations and discussions (continued)

Session 7b: Estimation Curriculum Development Workshop (parallel workshop)
Moderators: Ricardo Valerdi, University of Arizona and Ray Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School

This workshop will engage stakeholders from the cost community interested in education and training.  We invite participants from industry, government, and academia who want to learn and share best practices related to curriculum development and delivery.  Our discussion will be guided (but will not be constrained) by: (1) links between cost estimation curriculum and ongoing efforts to update the systems engineering body of knowledge
(BKCASE) and software engineering reference curriculum (GSwERC), (2) sharing of cost estimation course syllabi from the Naval Postgraduate School, University of Arizona, and other universities, and (3) review of cost estimation homework problem workbook being developed by Madachy and Valerdi.
We hope to obtain feedback on these items and engage in a lively discussion as we strive to move the cost estimation profession forward.

1:00 pm Workshop presentations and discussions
2:50 pm Break
3:10 pm - 5:00 pm Workshop presentations and discussions (continued)
Session 8: Affiliate Dinner.
Organizer: Julie Sanchez, USC
6:00 pm - 8:30 pm Affiliate Dinner

 


Friday, November 4, 2011
Davidson Conference Center


7:45 am Registration and Breakfast
Session 9: Modeling and Analysis.
Chair: Supannika Koolmanojwong, USC CSSE
8:15 am Thomas Tan, USC, An Investigation on Domain-Based Effort Distribution
8:40 am Ye Yang and Zhimin He, Institute of Software Chinese Academy of Sciences, China, Local Bias and its Impacts on the Performance of Parametric Estimation Models
9:05 am Qi Li and  Barry Boehm, USC, Value-Based Software Test Prioritization
9:30 am Anca-Juliana Stoica, Uppsala University, Sweden, Demonstrating Early Value in Software System Projects Using Software and System Cost Models
9:55 am Break
Session 10: Process Improvement and Workshop Summaries.
Chair: Richard Selby, USC and Northrop
10:15 am Andy Nolan and Satpaul Sall, Rolls-Royce plc, England, CO-IMP-MO – the use of COCOMO II to improve Rolls-Royce
10:40 am Jorge Aguilar Cisneros, Universidad Popular Autónoma del Estado de Puebla, Mexico, and Ricardo Valerdi, University of Arizona, Cultural Mismatches as Predictors for the Successful Adoption of Software Process Improvement Models
11:05 am

Workshop 3a Summary: Air Force Estimation Guidebook. 
Moderators: Brad Clark, Software Metrics Inc, and Ray Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School.

Ray Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School, Ricardo Valerdi, University of Arizona, Systems Engineering Cost Estimation
Curriculum Development Workshop Debrief

11:20 am

Workshop 3b Summary: Metrics and Estimating Models for Software Maintenance.  Moderator: Don Reifer, Reifer Consultants LLC.

Closing report

COCOMO Forum Delphi – version 2.0

COCOMO Forum Delphi – version 2.0 – Results

COCOMO Forum Notes

11:35 am Workshop 7a Summary: DACS Data Repository. 
Moderators: Jo Ann Lane, USC, and Qi Li, USC.
11:50 am Workshop 7b Summary: Estimation Curriculum Development. 
Moderators: Ricardo Valerdi, University of Arizona, and Ray Madachy, Naval Postgraduate School.

12:05 pm - 12:10 pm

Richard Selby, Northrop Grumman and USC, "Closing Remarks and Adjourn"
Copyright © 2011 USC CSSE. All rights reserved.